Motherwell vs HB Thursday 23rd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Motherwell HB

Motherwell L W L D L W

HB W W W L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Aarhus	4 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Hibernian	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Celtic	2 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Heart Of Midlothian	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Falkirk	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Rangers	2 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	07 Vestur	1 - 4	Win
Jun 29, 26	Home	Skála	4 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	B36 Torshavn	0 - 3	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	AB	3 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Vikingur Gota	0 - 0	Draw
May 26, 26	Away	B68	0 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Motherwell has a 66.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.92 %

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