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Ykkösliiga

July 5, 2026 5 days, 13 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

MP Haka
MP L D L W W L
Haka L W W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
MP Haka 1 - 0 May 2, 2026
Haka MP 2 - 0 October 1, 2015
MP Haka 3 - 4 August 2, 2015
Haka MP 1 - 0 June 4, 2015

MP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away PK-35 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Klubi-04 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away EIF 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home EIF 1 - 0 Win
May 22, 26 Away JäPS 0 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home JIPPO 1 - 3 Loss

Haka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Kooteepee 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 15, 26 Away SJK Akatemia 0 - 2 Win
Jun 8, 26 Away Kooteepee 0 - 2 Win
Jun 5, 26 Home JäPS 1 - 2 Loss
May 29, 26 Home JIPPO 2 - 1 Win
May 22, 26 Away SJK Akatemia 0 - 1 Win

Ykkösliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Haka 12 6 3 3 20 12 +8 21
7 MP 12 4 1 7 10 14 -4 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.36% likelihood that both MP and Haka will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Haka to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Haka has a 36.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.63 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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