MP vs KäPa Wednesday 29th July 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

MP KäPa

MP L D W L D L

KäPa L W L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
MP	KäPa	0 - 1	April 19, 2026
KäPa	MP	3 - 2	September 14, 2024
MP	KäPa	2 - 6	July 11, 2024
KäPa	MP	4 - 0	May 12, 2024
MP	KäPa	6 - 2	June 28, 2023
KäPa	MP	2 - 0	April 16, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	JIPPO	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	SJK Akatemia	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Home	Haka	2 - 1	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	PK-35	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Klubi-04	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	EIF	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	PK-35	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	JäPS	3 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	JIPPO	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	Kooteepee	1 - 2	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	JäPS	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	EIF	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	MP	14	5	2	7	13	16	-3	17
8	KäPa	13	4	3	6	15	20	-5	15

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.15% likelihood that both MP and KäPa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

This prediction indicates that MP has a 44.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.47 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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