Mulbarton Wanderers vs Gloucester City Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Oct. 3, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Mulbarton Wanderers Gloucester City

Mulbarton Wanderers W W L D W W

Gloucester City W W D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Woodford Town	1 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Cornard United	3 - 0	Win
Sep 16, 25	Away	Witham Town	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Home	Witham Town	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Away	Histon	2 - 3	Win
Aug 16, 25	Home	Cambridge City	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	AFC Totton	0 - 2	Win
Sep 8, 26	Away	Mangotsfield United	0 - 4	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Mangotsfield United	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 31, 26	Away	Weston-super-Mare	0 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Barry Town	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Mulbarton Wanderers has a 45.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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