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Aug. 10, 2026 11 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Mura Radomlje
Mura L W D L D L
Radomlje L D L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Radomlje has had the upper hand against Mura, but those games have usually been low-scoring. Despite both teams being closely matched in overall quality and coming in with similar rest, they are both currently in poor form and have defensive weaknesses. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a good chance of both teams scoring and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals, aligning with the market's view on these aspects.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Radomlje Mura 3 - 2 May 22, 2026
Mura Radomlje 2 - 0 March 21, 2026
Radomlje Mura 3 - 1 December 6, 2025
Mura Radomlje 0 - 0 September 21, 2025
Radomlje Mura 2 - 0 May 3, 2025
Mura Radomlje 2 - 0 March 8, 2025

Mura Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Nafta 5 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Olimpija Ljubljana 1 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away Celje 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Away Beltinci 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home FC Noah 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 26, 26 Away Sturm Graz 5 - 0 Loss

Radomlje Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Home Bravo 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Koper 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Brinje-Grosuplje 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home NK Varazdin 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Home HNK Rijeka 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Home Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 3 Loss

1. SNL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Mura 3 1 1 1 5 7 -2 4
10 Radomlje 3 0 1 2 3 6 -3 1

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.19% likelihood that both Mura and Radomlje will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Mura to win
This prediction indicates that Mura has a 45.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.10 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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