Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad Sunday 26th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC Libertad

Mushuc Runa SC L W D D L L

Libertad L L W L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Libertad	Mushuc Runa SC	2 - 2	April 7, 2026
Mushuc Runa SC	Libertad	1 - 2	August 9, 2025
Libertad	Mushuc Runa SC	2 - 1	April 19, 2025
Libertad	Mushuc Runa SC	2 - 2	August 3, 2024
Mushuc Runa SC	Libertad	2 - 1	March 2, 2024
Libertad	Mushuc Runa SC	0 - 1	September 2, 2023

Mushuc Runa SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Independiente del Valle	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Away	Universidad Catolica	2 - 3	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Aucas	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Guayaquil City FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Leones del Norte	3 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	LDU de Quito	1 - 3	Loss

Libertad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Leones del Norte	1 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Manta FC	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Emelec	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Aucas	3 - 2	Win

Liga Pro Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Mushuc Runa SC	17	5	6	6	22	23	-1	21
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17	25	-8	17

Predictions

Mushuc Runa SC to win

This prediction indicates that Mushuc Runa SC has a 43.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.57 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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