Nõmme United vs Kuressaare Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Nõmme United Kuressaare

Nõmme United W L W L L L

Kuressaare L D L D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kuressaare	Nõmme United	2 - 1	May 20, 2026
Nõmme United	Kuressaare	2 - 1	April 25, 2026
Kuressaare	Nõmme United	3 - 3	February 7, 2026
Kuressaare	Nõmme United	2 - 1	January 19, 2025
Kuressaare	Nõmme United	4 - 1	September 28, 2024
Nõmme United	Kuressaare	2 - 2	September 1, 2024

Nõmme United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Laagri	1 - 3	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Trans Narva	1 - 2	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	0 - 4	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Kuressaare	2 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Tammeka	3 - 1	Loss

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Vaprus	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Trans Narva	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Laagri	2 - 3	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Paide	1 - 1	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Nõmme United	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	0 - 2	Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Nõmme United	17	6	1	10	33	40	-7	19
9	Kuressaare	17	3	2	12	15	29	-14	11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.82% likelihood that both Nõmme United and Kuressaare will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Nõmme United or Kuressaare to win

This prediction indicates that Nõmme United has a 38.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.79 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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