Eerste Divisie
Match Analysis
NAC Breda
Jong Ajax
NAC Breda
W
L
W
W
L
W
Jong Ajax
L
L
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax | NAC Breda | 0 - 1 | March 8, 2024 |
| NAC Breda | Jong Ajax | 1 - 1 | November 10, 2023 |
| NAC Breda | Jong Ajax | 2 - 6 | March 13, 2023 |
| Jong Ajax | NAC Breda | 3 - 1 | September 12, 2022 |
| NAC Breda | Jong Ajax | 0 - 0 | April 1, 2022 |
| Jong Ajax | NAC Breda | 6 - 3 | September 13, 2021 |
NAC Breda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | FC OSS | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Bolton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | OFI | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Lokeren-Temse | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Excelsior | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Hoek | 1 - 2 | Win |
Jong Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Dordrecht | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Jong AZ | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Home | Jong Utrecht | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 17, 26 | Away | Jong PSV | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 13, 26 | Home | FC OSS | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 6, 26 | Away | Vitesse | 6 - 1 | Loss |
Eerste Divisie Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
NAC Breda to win
This prediction indicates that NAC Breda has a 61.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.58 %Most Likely Scorelines
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