Serie D
Match Analysis
Nacional AM
Araguaína
Nacional AM
W
W
D
W
L
W
Araguaína
L
W
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Araguaína | Nacional AM | 0 - 1 | June 21, 2026 |
Nacional AM Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Araguaína | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Monte Roraima | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Manaus FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | GAS | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Manauara | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Sao Raimundo | 0 - 2 | Win |
Araguaína Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Nacional AM | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Galvez | 9 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Guaporé | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Porto Velho | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Independência | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Humaitá | 0 - 7 | Win |
Serie D Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nacional AM | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 23 |
| 25 | Araguaína | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 18 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.96% likelihood that both Nacional AM and Araguaína will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Araguaína to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Araguaína has a 41.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.73 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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