Nacional AM vs CSA Friday 28th August 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Serie D

Aug. 28, 2026 1 week from now VS

Nacional AM CSA

Nacional AM L L D D L W

CSA L L W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 26	Away	ABC	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	ABC	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Iguatu	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Iguatu	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Away	Capital Brasilia	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Capital Brasilia	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Home	Uberlandia	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Uberlandia	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	São Luiz	2 - 1	Win
Jul 19, 26	Away	São Luiz	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 13, 26	Home	Ipatinga	4 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Ipatinga	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Nacional AM	17	8	5	4	20	14	+6	29
23	CSA	18	6	4	8	23	26	-3	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Nacional AM has a 51.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.63 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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