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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Nacional AM Monte Roraima
Nacional AM D W L W D L
Monte Roraima L D W W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Monte Roraima Nacional AM 0 - 1 April 4, 2026

Nacional AM Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Manaus FC 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away GAS 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Manauara 0 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Sao Raimundo 0 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home Sao Raimundo 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Away Manauara 4 - 2 Loss

Monte Roraima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Manauara 0 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Sao Raimundo 2 - 2 Draw
May 16, 26 Away GAS 2 - 3 Win
May 9, 26 Away Manaus FC 0 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home Manaus FC 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home GAS 0 - 0 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
20 Nacional AM 9 5 2 2 12 8 +4 17
70 Monte Roraima 9 2 4 3 10 11 -1 10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Nacional AM to win
This prediction indicates that Nacional AM has a 50.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.16 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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