2. Division
Match Analysis
Naestved
Middelfart
Naestved
D
W
L
D
W
D
Middelfart
D
D
W
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middelfart | Naestved | 3 - 0 | May 24, 2025 |
| Naestved | Middelfart | 0 - 1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Middelfart | Naestved | 0 - 1 | November 16, 2024 |
| Naestved | Middelfart | 0 - 2 | September 22, 2024 |
| Middelfart | Naestved | 1 - 2 | October 23, 2021 |
| Naestved | Middelfart | 4 - 0 | September 19, 2021 |
Naestved Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | B 93 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Skive | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | VSK Århus | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Nykobing FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Brabrand | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | HIK | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Middelfart Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Nykobing FC | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Fremad Amager | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | HIK | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | OKS | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Nykobing FC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Roskilde | 1 - 1 | Draw |
2. Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middelfart | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Naestved | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.26% likelihood that both Naestved and Middelfart will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Naestved or Middelfart to win
This prediction indicates that Naestved has a 39.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.81 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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