Iraqi League
Match Analysis
Naft
Karbala
Naft
D
D
W
W
W
D
Karbala
L
D
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karbala | Naft | 2 - 4 | June 27, 2025 |
| Naft | Karbala | 1 - 0 | February 3, 2025 |
| Naft | Karbala | 1 - 1 | May 31, 2024 |
| Karbala | Naft | 0 - 2 | December 5, 2023 |
| Karbala | Naft | 0 - 0 | July 16, 2023 |
| Naft | Karbala | 1 - 0 | February 24, 2023 |
Naft Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Duhok | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Naft Maysan | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Al Karkh | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Newroz | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Al Zawra'a | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 19, 26 | Home | Duhok | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Karbala Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Mosul | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Al Zawra'a | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Al Shorta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 8, 26 | Away | Baghdad | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 25 | Home | Al Hudod | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 25 | Home | Naft | 2 - 4 | Loss |
Iraqi League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Naft | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 14 | Karbala | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 62.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Naft to win
This prediction indicates that Naft has a 61.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.73 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments