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Iraqi League

June 1, 2026 4 weeks ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Naft Newroz
Naft W D D L D W
Newroz D W W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Newroz Naft 2 - 0 January 5, 2026
Newroz Naft 0 - 1 May 12, 2025
Naft Newroz 1 - 1 January 20, 2025

Naft Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Away Al Zawra'a 0 - 1 Win
May 19, 26 Home Duhok 1 - 1 Draw
May 14, 26 Home Al Minaa Basra 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Naft Maysan 3 - 0 Loss
May 5, 26 Home Al-Karma 0 - 0 Draw
May 1, 26 Home Al Shorta 1 - 0 Win

Newroz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Home Mosul 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Zakho 2 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Erbil 0 - 1 Win
May 11, 26 Away Al Kahrabaa 2 - 1 Loss
May 5, 26 Home Al Shorta 0 - 3 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Al-Karma 0 - 1 Loss

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Newroz 37 15 6 16 46 46 0 51
14 Naft 37 10 15 12 30 34 -4 45

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Naft will score 0 goals, and Newroz will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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