Prva Liga
Match Analysis
Naftagas
Grafičar
Naftagas
L
D
W
Grafičar
L
L
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Naftagas Form (Last 3 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | OFK Vršac | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Loznica | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Macva | 1 - 2 | Win |
Grafičar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Napredak | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Borac Cacak | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | OFK Vršac | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Metalac GM | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 29, 26 | Away | FAP | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | FK Trayal | 3 - 0 | Win |
Prva Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Naftagas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Grafičar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Naftagas to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Naftagas has a 41.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.18 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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