Naftagas vs TSC Backa Topola Wednesday 16th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Prva Liga

Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Naftagas TSC Backa Topola

Naftagas L W L L L D

TSC Backa Topola D W D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Away	OFK Bor 1919	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Home	Grafičar	2 - 1	Win
Aug 19, 26	Away	Borac Cacak	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Dinamo Jug	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	OFK Vršac	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Loznica	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Semendrija 1924	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Away	Napredak	1 - 2	Win
Aug 19, 26	Home	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Jedinstvo Ub	2 - 3	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Javor	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	OFK Vršac	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	TSC Backa Topola	6	3	3	0	10	7	+3	12
13	Naftagas	6	1	1	4	6	9	-3	4

This prediction indicates that TSC Backa Topola has a 40.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.28 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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