Nancy vs Montpellier Friday 14th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Nancy Montpellier

Nancy D W D L W W

Montpellier W L W W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nancy	Montpellier	0 - 3	March 6, 2026
Montpellier	Nancy	4 - 1	October 25, 2025
Nancy	Montpellier	0 - 3	February 11, 2017
Montpellier	Nancy	0 - 0	November 26, 2016
Montpellier	Nancy	1 - 0	February 16, 2013
Nancy	Montpellier	0 - 2	September 29, 2012

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Annecy	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Home	Haguenau	5 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Thionville Lusitanos	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Estac Troyes	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Mamer	8 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Dunkerque	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Clermont Foot	0 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Cannes	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Le Puy Foot	5 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Aubagne	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	RED Star FC 93	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Clermont Foot	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Montpellier	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Nancy	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Montpellier has a 42.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.39 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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