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League One

July 5, 2026 5 days, 19 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Nanjing City Dongguan United
Nanjing City L L W D L W
Dongguan United L L D D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Nanjing City Dongguan United 1 - 1 September 21, 2025
Dongguan United Nanjing City 1 - 3 May 11, 2025
Dongguan United Nanjing City 0 - 0 August 31, 2024
Nanjing City Dongguan United 0 - 0 April 13, 2024
Nanjing City Dongguan United 2 - 1 August 6, 2023
Dongguan United Nanjing City 1 - 1 April 30, 2023

Nanjing City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Hebei Kungfu 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Ningbo Professional 1 - 2 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Shaanxi Union 0 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Away Wuxi Wugou 1 - 1 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Qingdao Red Lions 1 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Meizhou Kejia 2 - 0 Win

Dongguan United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Yanbian Longding 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Shaanxi Union 0 - 5 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Guangxi Hengchen 3 - 3 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1 - 1 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Langfang Glory City 1 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Suzhou Dongwu 1 - 1 Draw

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Nanjing City 12 4 3 5 11 12 -1 15
14 Dongguan United 12 2 4 6 14 23 -9 10

Predictions

Nanjing City to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Nanjing City has a 39.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.16 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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