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League One

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Nanjing City Ningbo Professional
Nanjing City W D L W W L
Ningbo Professional D W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Nanjing City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Away Shaanxi Union 0 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Away Wuxi Wugou 1 - 1 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Qingdao Red Lions 1 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Meizhou Kejia 2 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Home Suzhou Dongwu 1 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Guangxi Hengchen 1 - 0 Loss

Ningbo Professional Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home Nantong Zhiyun 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Dalian Huayi 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Liaocheng Legend 1 - 4 Win
May 10, 26 Away Shaanxi Union 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Changchun Yatai 3 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Meizhou Kejia 0 - 3 Win

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Nanjing City 10 4 3 3 9 8 +1 15
10 Ningbo Professional 10 3 3 4 12 13 -1 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Nanjing City to win
This prediction indicates that Nanjing City has a 41.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.43 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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