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League One

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai
Nantong Zhiyun L W D D L W
Changchun Yatai L W D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Changchun Yatai Nantong Zhiyun 3 - 2 September 14, 2024
Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai 2 - 3 May 5, 2024
Changchun Yatai Nantong Zhiyun 1 - 1 August 4, 2023
Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai 0 - 1 May 6, 2023
Changchun Yatai Nantong Zhiyun 4 - 0 October 8, 2020
Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai 0 - 0 September 20, 2020

Nantong Zhiyun Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Meizhou Kejia 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Yanbian Longding 2 - 0 Win
May 29, 26 Away Ningbo Professional 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Guangxi Hengchen 0 - 0 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Dalian Kewei 2 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Wuxi Wugou 1 - 0 Win

Changchun Yatai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Guangxi Hengchen 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Dalian Huayi 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away Yanbian Longding 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Shenzhen Juniors 0 - 4 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Xi'an Ronghai 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2 - 3 Win

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Nantong Zhiyun 12 6 4 2 12 9 +3 22
7 Changchun Yatai 12 5 1 6 17 21 -4 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Nantong Zhiyun to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Nantong Zhiyun has a 44.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.38 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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