Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai Sunday 12th July 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Nantong Zhiyun Changchun Yatai

Nantong Zhiyun L W D D L W

Changchun Yatai L W D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Changchun Yatai	Nantong Zhiyun	3 - 2	September 14, 2024
Nantong Zhiyun	Changchun Yatai	2 - 3	May 5, 2024
Changchun Yatai	Nantong Zhiyun	1 - 1	August 4, 2023
Nantong Zhiyun	Changchun Yatai	0 - 1	May 6, 2023
Changchun Yatai	Nantong Zhiyun	4 - 0	October 8, 2020
Nantong Zhiyun	Changchun Yatai	0 - 0	September 20, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Meizhou Kejia	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Yanbian Longding	2 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Ningbo Professional	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Guangxi Hengchen	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Dalian Kewei	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Wuxi Wugou	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Guangxi Hengchen	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Dalian Huayi	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Shenzhen Juniors	0 - 4	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Xi'an Ronghai	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	2 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Nantong Zhiyun	12	6	4	2	12	9	+3	22
7	Changchun Yatai	12	5	1	6	17	21	-4	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Nantong Zhiyun has a 44.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.38 %

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