Napredak vs Loznica Saturday 03rd October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Prva Liga

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Napredak Loznica

Napredak L L W L L D

Loznica D L D W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 16, 26	Home	OFK Vršac	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Jedinstvo Ub	2 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Javor	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	TSC Backa Topola	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 19, 26	Away	Teleoptik	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Home	Javor	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	TSC Backa Topola	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Teleoptik	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Metalac GM	2 - 4	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	OFK Bor 1919	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 19, 26	Away	Grafičar	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Napredak	9	4	1	4	9	11	-2	13
11	Loznica	8	1	5	2	9	12	-3	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Napredak has a 37.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.08 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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