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J2 League

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
3 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

Nara Club Oita Trinita
Nara Club W L W L W D
Oita Trinita D L L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Nara Club Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Kataller Toyama 5 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 2 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis 1 - 2 Win
May 6, 26 Home Osaka 1 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Imabari 1 - 2 Win
Apr 29, 26 Home Kochi United 0 - 0 Draw

Oita Trinita Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away Gainare Tottori 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 - 2 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Kagoshima United 0 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Away Kitakyushu 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 29, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 1 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
26 Oita Trinita 18 6 3 9 18 18 0 21
31 Nara Club 18 5 4 9 25 34 -9 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.46% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Nara Club to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Nara Club has a 42.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.68 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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