Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino Tuesday 06th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Nautico Recife Novorizontino

Nautico Recife D L W W D W

Novorizontino L D W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Novorizontino	Nautico Recife	2 - 2	June 14, 2026
Novorizontino	Nautico Recife	6 - 0	October 15, 2022
Nautico Recife	Novorizontino	3 - 1	July 2, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 15, 26	Home	Operario-PR	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 9, 26	Away	America Mineiro	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 3, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	1 - 0	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Athletic Club	2 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	São Bernardo	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 19, 26	Home	Ceara	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Ceara	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Cuiaba	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 9, 26	Away	Botafogo SP	1 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Avai	3 - 1	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Sport Recife	2 - 1	Win
Aug 24, 26	Away	Athletic Club	1 - 4	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Novorizontino	29	14	8	7	49	27	+22	50
14	Nautico Recife	28	10	8	10	35	33	+2	38

This prediction indicates that Nautico Recife has a 37.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.29 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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