Eredivisie
Match Analysis
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
L
L
W
D
L
D
Excelsior
L
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | NEC Nijmegen | 0 - 2 | April 4, 2026 |
| NEC Nijmegen | Excelsior | 5 - 0 | August 9, 2025 |
| Excelsior | NEC Nijmegen | 0 - 3 | May 6, 2024 |
| NEC Nijmegen | Excelsior | 3 - 4 | August 13, 2023 |
| Excelsior | NEC Nijmegen | 0 - 3 | February 19, 2023 |
| NEC Nijmegen | Excelsior | 1 - 1 | October 8, 2022 |
NEC Nijmegen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Bodo/Glimt | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Bodo/Glimt | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Willem II | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Telstar | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Olympiakos Piraeus | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Excelsior Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Cambuur | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | De Graafschap | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Heracles | 3 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | NAC Breda | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Dordrecht | 0 - 2 | Win |
Eredivisie Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.49% likelihood that both NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.NEC Nijmegen to win
This prediction indicates that NEC Nijmegen has a 66.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.29 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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