Neman vs Arsenal Saturday 04th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Neman Arsenal

Neman L L L W L W

Arsenal D W W W L L

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Neman	Arsenal	1 - 0	October 10, 2025
Arsenal	Neman	0 - 3	April 19, 2025
Arsenal	Neman	0 - 4	October 6, 2024
Neman	Arsenal	1 - 0	May 16, 2024
Arsenal	Neman	1 - 1	October 2, 2022
Neman	Arsenal	2 - 0	May 15, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	FC Dnepr Mogilev	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Dinamo Minsk	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Home	Enisey	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Dinamo Brest	1 - 3	Win
May 30, 26	Home	ML Vitebsk	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Baranovichi	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	FC Gomel	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Bate Borisov	2 - 3	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	FC Dnepr Mogilev	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	FC Minsk	3 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Dinamo Minsk	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Dinamo Brest	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Neman	12	6	2	4	15	11	+4	20
8	Arsenal	13	4	6	3	17	18	-1	18

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Neman has a 45.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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