Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Apollon Pontou Monday 17th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Nestos Chrisoupolis Apollon Pontou

Nestos Chrisoupolis D W D W W W

Apollon Pontou L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 26, 26	Away	Kavala	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Home	PAS Giannina	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	PAOK II	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 8, 26	Away	Makedonikos Neapolis	0 - 2	Win
Apr 5, 26	Home	Kampaniakos Chalastra	3 - 0	Win
Mar 14, 26	Home	Kavala	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 11, 24	Home	Larisa	1 - 3	Loss
Mar 4, 24	Away	Anagennisi Karditsas	4 - 1	Loss
Feb 29, 24	Away	AEK Athens II	4 - 0	Loss
Feb 25, 24	Home	Makedonikos Neapolis	0 - 3	Loss
Feb 21, 24	Away	Niki Volos	5 - 0	Loss
Feb 18, 24	Away	Aiolikos	3 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Nestos Chrisoupolis has a 57.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.45 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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