UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
Netherlands
Germany
Netherlands
D
W
W
D
W
L
Germany
D
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | Netherlands | 1 - 0 | October 14, 2024 |
| Netherlands | Germany | 2 - 2 | September 10, 2024 |
| Germany | Netherlands | 2 - 1 | March 26, 2024 |
| Netherlands | Germany | 1 - 1 | March 29, 2022 |
| Germany | Netherlands | 2 - 4 | September 6, 2019 |
| Netherlands | Germany | 2 - 3 | March 24, 2019 |
Netherlands Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Morocco | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | Tunisia | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Sweden | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Japan | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 8, 26 | Home | Uzbekistan | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Home | Algeria | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Germany Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 26 | Home | Paraguay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | Ecuador | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Ivory Coast | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Curaçao | 7 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | USA | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Finland | 4 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.33% likelihood that both Netherlands and Germany will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Netherlands to win
This prediction indicates that Netherlands has a 46.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.50 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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