USL Championship
Match Analysis
New Mexico United
Indy Eleven
New Mexico United
W
D
W
W
W
W
Indy Eleven
W
W
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indy Eleven | New Mexico United | 1 - 3 | August 11, 2024 |
| New Mexico United | Indy Eleven | 3 - 2 | September 16, 2023 |
| Indy Eleven | New Mexico United | 1 - 2 | May 28, 2022 |
New Mexico United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Lexington | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Colorado Springs | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Lexington | 1 - 4 | Win |
Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sporting JAX | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Hartford Athletic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Loudoun United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 2 - 0 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New Mexico United | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 17 | +9 | 34 |
| 15 | Indy Eleven | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.5% likelihood that both New Mexico United and Indy Eleven will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.New Mexico United to win
This prediction indicates that New Mexico United has a 55.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.16 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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