New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots Sunday 05th July 2026 04:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

New Mexico United Oakland Roots

New Mexico United W D D W L W

Oakland Roots W D D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Oakland Roots	New Mexico United	2 - 1	March 15, 2026
New Mexico United	Oakland Roots	3 - 3	October 19, 2025
Oakland Roots	New Mexico United	0 - 3	May 25, 2025
Oakland Roots	New Mexico United	1 - 0	August 31, 2024
New Mexico United	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	May 12, 2024
New Mexico United	Oakland Roots	1 - 2	August 24, 2023

New Mexico United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Sacramento Republic	0 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Orange County SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	1 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	3 - 1	Win

Oakland Roots Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	3 - 4	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Miami FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Orange County SC	3 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	2 - 1	Win

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Oakland Roots	14	5	6	3	23	20	+3	21
11	New Mexico United	12	5	3	4	13	13	0	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.61% likelihood that both New Mexico United and Oakland Roots will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Score 2 - 2

This prediction indicates that New Mexico United will score 2 goals, and Oakland Roots will score 2 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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