New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Sunday 14th June 2026 04:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

New Mexico United Orange County SC

New Mexico United D W L W D L

Orange County SC W D L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Orange County SC	New Mexico United	0 - 1	April 5, 2026
New Mexico United	Orange County SC	2 - 1	November 9, 2025
New Mexico United	Orange County SC	3 - 3	October 12, 2025
Orange County SC	New Mexico United	0 - 3	May 18, 2025
Orange County SC	New Mexico United	0 - 0	October 20, 2024
New Mexico United	Orange County SC	2 - 0	July 4, 2024

New Mexico United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	1 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	3 - 1	Win
May 7, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	3 - 0	Loss

Orange County SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Oakland Roots	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Sacramento Republic	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Lexington	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	0 - 1	Win
Apr 9, 26	Home	San Antonio	2 - 0	Win

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Orange County SC	11	5	4	2	14	10	+4	19
17	New Mexico United	10	4	2	4	11	12	-1	14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.47% likelihood that both New Mexico United and Orange County SC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

New Mexico United to win

This prediction indicates that New Mexico United has a 42.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.82 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips

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