MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
New York City II
Carolina Core
New York City II
W
L
W
W
L
W
Carolina Core
W
L
D
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Core | New York City II | 5 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
| New York City II | Carolina Core | 2 - 1 | March 24, 2025 |
| Carolina Core | New York City II | 0 - 1 | July 27, 2024 |
New York City II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Bethlehem Steel | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Columbus Crew II | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati II | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | New York RB II | 2 - 3 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | New England II | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 5, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | Win |
Carolina Core Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Crown Legacy | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Orlando City II | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | New York RB II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Chattanooga | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Huntsville City | 3 - 0 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | New York City II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 26 | Carolina Core | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 11 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.36% likelihood that both New York City II and Carolina Core will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
New York City II to win
This prediction indicates that New York City II has a 55.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.58 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 79.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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