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MLS Next Pro

June 22, 2026 1 week ago
1 – 1
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Match Analysis

New York City II Chattanooga
New York City II W W L W W L
Chattanooga D W L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
New York City II Chattanooga 0 - 1 September 28, 2025
New York City II Chattanooga 1 - 1 March 27, 2024

New York City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 17, 26 Home Carolina Core 3 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Bethlehem Steel 0 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Columbus Crew II 2 - 3 Loss
May 23, 26 Home FC Cincinnati II 2 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away New York RB II 2 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Away New England II 3 - 2 Loss

Chattanooga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Atlanta United II 4 - 4 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home New York RB II 4 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Orlando City II 5 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Carolina Core 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away FC Cincinnati II 1 - 3 Win
May 8, 26 Away Fort Lauderdale CF 1 - 2 Win

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Chattanooga 14 7 2 5 29 25 +4 23
16 New York City II 13 6 2 5 19 21 -2 20

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.52% likelihood that both New York City II and Chattanooga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Chattanooga to win
This prediction indicates that Chattanooga has a 42.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.25 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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