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Match Analysis

New York City II FC Cincinnati II
New York City II D L L W W D
FC Cincinnati II L D L L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
New York City II FC Cincinnati II 2 - 0 May 23, 2026
FC Cincinnati II New York City II 1 - 0 April 13, 2026
FC Cincinnati II New York City II 2 - 2 July 6, 2025
New York City II FC Cincinnati II 2 - 2 April 9, 2025
New York City II FC Cincinnati II 3 - 1 September 30, 2024
FC Cincinnati II New York City II 1 - 1 July 7, 2024

New York City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Bethlehem Steel 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Atlanta United II 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Away New England II 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Crown Legacy 0 - 3 Win
Jun 26, 26 Away Connecticut FC 1 - 4 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Chattanooga 1 - 1 Draw

FC Cincinnati II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Chicago Fire 7 - 2 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home New England II 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Away Toronto II 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Orlando City II 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home New York RB II 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home Fort Lauderdale CF 1 - 0 Win

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
17 New York City II 19 8 4 7 30 30 0 28
28 FC Cincinnati II 20 4 2 14 21 43 -22 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.14% likelihood that both New York City II and FC Cincinnati II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
New York City II to win
This prediction indicates that New York City II has a 55.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.91 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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