Newport County vs Rochdale Saturday 15th August 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Newport County Rochdale

Newport County L D D L W W

Rochdale L D D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rochdale	Newport County	1 - 1	January 7, 2023
Newport County	Rochdale	0 - 1	October 8, 2022
Newport County	Rochdale	0 - 2	May 7, 2022
Rochdale	Newport County	3 - 0	December 18, 2021
Newport County	Rochdale	2 - 1	May 3, 2014
Rochdale	Newport County	3 - 0	October 12, 2013

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Reading	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Bath City	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Away	Bristol City	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Gloucester City	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Away	Newport City	0 - 5	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Bristol Manor Farm	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	FC Halifax Town	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Farnham Town	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Home	Al-Rayyan SC	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	United of Manchester	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Boreham Wood	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Rochdale	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Newport County	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Rochdale has a 46.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.12 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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