Newport County vs Swindon Town Wednesday 02nd September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

EFL Trophy

Sept. 2, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Newport County Swindon Town

Newport County W D L W L D

Swindon Town D L W W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Swindon Town	Newport County	2 - 0	February 11, 2026
Newport County	Swindon Town	0 - 1	October 4, 2025
Newport County	Swindon Town	1 - 2	January 24, 2025
Swindon Town	Newport County	4 - 0	September 14, 2024
Newport County	Swindon Town	2 - 1	February 3, 2024
Swindon Town	Newport County	2 - 0	October 14, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Home	Rochdale	3 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 4, 26	Home	AS Roma	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Yeovil Town	1 - 2	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	Reading	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Bath City	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Away	Northampton	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Cardiff	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Forest Green	1 - 4	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	Leyton Orient	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Bristol City	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Crystal Palace	5 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Swindon Town has a 45.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.40 %

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