Nicaragua vs Costa Rica Friday 02nd October 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

CONCACAF Nations League

Oct. 2, 2026 1 week, 1 day from now VS

Nicaragua Costa Rica

Nicaragua L D L D W L

Costa Rica L L L D D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Costa Rica	Nicaragua	4 - 0	June 17, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Paraguay	4 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	South Africa	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Away	Russia	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 1, 25	Away	Puerto Rico	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 15, 24	Home	French Guyana	3 - 2	Win
Oct 11, 24	Home	Jamaica	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Away	England	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 1, 26	Away	Colombia	3 - 1	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Home	Iran	0 - 5	Loss
Mar 27, 26	Away	Jordan	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 29, 25	Away	USA	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 23, 25	Away	Mexico	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Costa Rica	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Nicaragua	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Costa Rica has a 39.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.83 %

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