Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic Monday 05th October 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

CONCACAF Nations League

Oct. 5, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Nicaragua Dominican Republic

Nicaragua L D L D W L

Dominican Republic L L L D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nicaragua	Dominican Republic	0 - 0	November 22, 2023
Dominican Republic	Nicaragua	0 - 2	September 8, 2023
Dominican Republic	Nicaragua	1 - 0	November 11, 2017
Nicaragua	Dominican Republic	0 - 3	November 9, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Paraguay	4 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	South Africa	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Away	Russia	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 1, 25	Away	Puerto Rico	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 15, 24	Home	French Guyana	3 - 2	Win
Oct 11, 24	Home	Jamaica	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 4, 26	Away	Panama	4 - 2	Loss
Oct 10, 25	Away	Uruguay	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 9, 25	Away	Jordan	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 23, 25	Home	Suriname	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 18, 25	Away	Costa Rica	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 15, 25	Away	Mexico	3 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Dominican Republic	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Nicaragua	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Dominican Republic has a 41.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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