Ligue 1
Match Analysis
Nice
Lille
Nice
D
L
D
D
D
L
Lille
W
D
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | Nice | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Nice | Lille | 2 - 0 | October 29, 2025 |
| Lille | Nice | 2 - 1 | January 17, 2025 |
| Nice | Lille | 2 - 2 | November 10, 2024 |
| Lille | Nice | 2 - 2 | May 19, 2024 |
| Nice | Lille | 1 - 1 | August 11, 2023 |
Nice Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Le Mans | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Paris FC | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Lorient | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Hull City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Cagliari | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Juventus | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Lille Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 26 | Away | Toulouse | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Angers | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Everton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Hamburger SV | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | OH Leuven | 3 - 6 | Win |
Ligue 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 17 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lille to win
This prediction indicates that Lille has a 52.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.21 %Most Likely Scorelines
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