Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa Saturday 22nd August 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

I Liga

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Nieciecza Polonia Warszawa

Nieciecza W D W L D W

Polonia Warszawa D W W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nieciecza	Polonia Warszawa	0 - 3	April 14, 2025
Polonia Warszawa	Nieciecza	0 - 1	September 29, 2024
Nieciecza	Polonia Warszawa	2 - 2	May 5, 2024
Polonia Warszawa	Nieciecza	1 - 1	November 4, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Pogoń Siedlce	1 - 2	Win
Jul 27, 26	Home	Nea Salamis	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ruch Chorzów	2 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Busko-Zdroj	6 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Podbeskidzie	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Away	Korona Kielce	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 26	Home	Ruch Chorzów	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Unia Skierniewice	3 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Puszcza Niepołomice	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3 - 2	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	Zlin	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Motor Lublin	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	4	1	+3	6
3	Nieciecza	2	2	0	0	4	1	+3	6

This prediction indicates that Nieciecza has a 49.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.84 %

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