Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets Thursday 17th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

First League

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Nizhny Novgorod Leningradets

Nizhny Novgorod D W L W W W

Leningradets L D D L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Volga Ulyanovsk	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 24, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	4 - 2	Win
Aug 19, 26	Away	Veles	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Tekstilshchik	1 - 3	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	5 - 1	Win
Aug 2, 26	Home	Shinnik Yaroslavl	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	KAMAZ	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Veles	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	2 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ural	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	9	7	1	1	27	13	+14	22
16	Leningradets	8	1	3	4	4	10	-6	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Nizhny Novgorod has a 64.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.43 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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