NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka Saturday 15th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

NK Varazdin HNK Rijeka

NK Varazdin L W W W W W

HNK Rijeka W W W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
NK Varazdin	HNK Rijeka	1 - 0	April 22, 2026
HNK Rijeka	NK Varazdin	3 - 1	February 14, 2026
NK Varazdin	HNK Rijeka	1 - 0	November 9, 2025
HNK Rijeka	NK Varazdin	1 - 2	August 24, 2025
HNK Rijeka	NK Varazdin	1 - 0	April 13, 2025
NK Varazdin	HNK Rijeka	1 - 0	February 1, 2025

NK Varazdin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Hradec Králové	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	Hradec Králové	3 - 2	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Kustosija	3 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Beltinci	2 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Bihor Oradea	1 - 3	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Radomlje	0 - 1	Win

HNK Rijeka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Derry City	0 - 1	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	Derry City	1 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Dekani	2 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Radomlje	0 - 2	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Brinje-Grosuplje	0 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Bravo	1 - 2	Win

HNL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	HNK Rijeka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Varazdin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

HNK Rijeka to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that HNK Rijeka has a 38.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.43 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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