EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Northampton
Brighton U21
Northampton
L
W
D
W
D
L
Brighton U21
L
L
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | Brighton U21 | 1 - 2 | November 2, 2021 |
Northampton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Leicester | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Solihull Moors | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Cambridge United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Southend | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Coventry | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Leicester | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Brighton U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Worthing | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Nov 5, 25 | Away | Cambridge United | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 28, 25 | Away | Luton | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 30, 25 | Away | Barnet | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 29, 24 | Away | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 17, 24 | Away | Wycombe | 5 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Northampton to win
This prediction indicates that Northampton has a 44.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.62 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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