Northampton vs Swindon Town Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Northampton Swindon Town

Northampton D W D L L L

Swindon Town W L L L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Northampton	Swindon Town	1 - 2	December 29, 2022
Swindon Town	Northampton	1 - 2	October 1, 2022
Swindon Town	Northampton	5 - 2	January 1, 2022
Northampton	Swindon Town	1 - 1	September 18, 2021
Swindon Town	Northampton	2 - 1	February 27, 2021
Northampton	Swindon Town	2 - 1	October 20, 2020

Northampton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Cambridge United	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Southend	1 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Coventry	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Leicester	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Plymouth	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Home	Barnsley	0 - 1	Loss

Swindon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Leyton Orient	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Bristol City	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Crystal Palace	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Chippenham Town	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Swindon Supermarine	4 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Chesterfield	1 - 2	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Swindon Town	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Northampton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Northampton or Swindon Town to win

This prediction indicates that Swindon Town has a 38.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.00 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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