Championship
Match Analysis
Norwich
Birmingham
Norwich
W
L
L
W
D
L
Birmingham
L
D
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | Birmingham | 1 - 2 | February 21, 2026 |
| Birmingham | Norwich | 4 - 1 | November 22, 2025 |
| Birmingham | Norwich | 1 - 0 | May 4, 2024 |
| Norwich | Birmingham | 2 - 0 | September 30, 2023 |
| Norwich | Birmingham | 3 - 1 | February 21, 2023 |
| Birmingham | Norwich | 1 - 2 | August 30, 2022 |
Norwich Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Cardiff | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Millwall | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | West Brom | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Milton Keynes Dons | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Cambridge United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Osasuna | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Birmingham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Brentford | 1 - 6 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Bristol City | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Swansea | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Barcelona | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Crewe | 1 - 2 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions
Norwich to win
This prediction indicates that Norwich has a 40.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.27 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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