Notodden vs Sotra Saturday 25th July 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Notodden Sotra

Notodden W L W D L W

Sotra L L L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Notodden	Sotra	1 - 1	September 13, 2025
Sotra	Notodden	1 - 3	April 27, 2025
Notodden	Sotra	0 - 0	September 21, 2024
Sotra	Notodden	2 - 1	April 6, 2024
Sotra	Notodden	2 - 2	October 8, 2022
Notodden	Sotra	2 - 2	April 9, 2022

Notodden Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sandviken	0 - 4	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Mjondalen	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Lysekloster	0 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	jerv	0 - 0	Draw
May 25, 26	Away	Brattvåg	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Pors Grenland	1 - 2	Win

Sotra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	jerv	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Kvik Halden	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Brattvåg	0 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Arendal	1 - 1	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	Bjarg	1 - 2	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Vidar	1 - 3	Win

2. Division - Group 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Sotra	11	5	3	3	23	10	+13	18
7	Notodden	12	5	3	4	19	11	+8	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.03% likelihood that both Notodden and Sotra will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Notodden or Sotra to win

This prediction indicates that Sotra has a 38.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.10 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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