Notts County vs Leicester Saturday 15th August 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Notts County Leicester

Notts County L L L W W D

Leicester D W W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leicester	Notts County	1 - 2	July 9, 2022

Notts County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Randers FC	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Viborg	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Alfreton Town	0 - 5	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Salford City	3 - 0	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Chesterfield	0 - 0	Draw

Leicester Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Malaga	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Cadiz	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Burton Albion	0 - 3	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Northampton	3 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Blackburn	0 - 1	Win

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Leicester	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Notts County	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Notts County or Leicester to win

This prediction indicates that Leicester has a 39.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.96 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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