Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Novaci
Pelister
Novaci
W
W
L
W
D
L
Pelister
W
L
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Novaci with a 41% probability. Novaci's strong recent form, combined with Pelister's poor recent form and defensive struggles, supports this outcome. Additionally, Novaci have a rest advantage and have shown strong attacking form recently, which further tilts the balance in their favor. The market odds are not available for direct comparison, but the model's view leans towards Novaci due to these qualitative factors.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novaci | Pelister | 0 - 0 | January 27, 2025 |
| Pelister | Novaci | 5 - 0 | July 14, 2024 |
Novaci Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Kozuv Gevgelija | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Ohrid | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Feb 4, 26 | Away | Tikveš | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jan 31, 26 | Home | Golemo Konjari | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jan 27, 25 | Home | Pelister | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 24 | Away | Pelister | 5 - 0 | Loss |
Pelister Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Panionios | 0 - 8 | Loss |
| Jan 30, 26 | Home | Pakhtakor | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jan 28, 26 | Away | Navbahor | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jan 25, 26 | Away | Borac Banja Luka | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jan 20, 26 | Away | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Novaci to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Novaci has a 40.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.09 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments