Novorizontino vs Criciuma Tuesday 21st July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Novorizontino Criciuma

Novorizontino W W W D W D

Criciuma W W W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Criciuma	Novorizontino	2 - 0	August 23, 2025
Novorizontino	Criciuma	1 - 1	April 21, 2025
Novorizontino	Criciuma	2 - 0	November 25, 2023
Criciuma	Novorizontino	0 - 1	July 22, 2023
Novorizontino	Criciuma	3 - 1	August 14, 2022
Criciuma	Novorizontino	1 - 1	May 1, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Atletico Goianiense	3 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Vila Nova	2 - 1	Win
Jun 22, 26	Away	Ponte Preta	0 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Nautico Recife	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 10, 26	Away	Goias	0 - 4	Win
May 31, 26	Away	São Bernardo	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Sport Recife	1 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	São Bernardo	1 - 0	Win
Jun 23, 26	Away	America Mineiro	0 - 1	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	Ceara	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Londrina	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Avai	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	16	8	6	2	27	14	+13	30
2	Criciuma	16	8	6	2	18	11	+7	30

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Novorizontino has a 47.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.26 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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