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Serie B logo

Serie B

June 27, 2026 2 days, 23 hours ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Novorizontino Vila Nova
Novorizontino W D W D W D
Vila Nova W L W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Novorizontino Vila Nova 1 - 1 September 28, 2025
Vila Nova Novorizontino 0 - 1 May 30, 2025
Novorizontino Vila Nova 2 - 0 August 31, 2024
Vila Nova Novorizontino 2 - 1 May 14, 2024
Novorizontino Vila Nova 3 - 1 July 30, 2023
Vila Nova Novorizontino 2 - 1 April 15, 2023

Novorizontino Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 22, 26 Away Ponte Preta 0 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Nautico Recife 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 10, 26 Away Goias 0 - 4 Win
May 31, 26 Away São Bernardo 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Ceara 2 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Cuiaba 0 - 0 Draw

Vila Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Nautico Recife 4 - 3 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Cuiaba 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 8, 26 Home Botafogo SP 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Londrina 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away America Mineiro 1 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Avai 2 - 0 Win

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Vila Nova 14 8 4 2 22 15 +7 28
4 Novorizontino 14 6 6 2 22 13 +9 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Novorizontino to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Novorizontino has a 41.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.60 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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