Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt Saturday 26th September 2026 11:30 PM football predictions.

Copa Chile

Sept. 26, 2026 3 days, 10 hours from now VS

Nublense D. Puerto Montt

Nublense L L L L L W

D. Puerto Montt W L L W L L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
D. Puerto Montt	Nublense	2 - 0	September 22, 2026
Nublense	D. Puerto Montt	1 - 1	October 29, 2024
D. Puerto Montt	Nublense	1 - 1	October 24, 2024
D. Puerto Montt	Nublense	3 - 2	November 20, 2020
Nublense	D. Puerto Montt	2 - 0	September 23, 2020
Nublense	D. Puerto Montt	2 - 1	January 11, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 22, 26	Away	D. Puerto Montt	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Everton de Vina	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	D. La Serena	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 3, 26	Away	Deportes Limache	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Concepción	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	U. Catolica	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 22, 26	Home	Nublense	2 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Magallanes	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Home	Rangers de Talca	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Curico Unido	2 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Deportes Temuco	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Deportes Iquique	0 - 4	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Nublense	6	4	1	1	9	5	+4	13
15	D. Puerto Montt	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10

This prediction indicates that Nublense has a 50.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.71 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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